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In the face of protests, France has suspended tax rises, for instance, and while Spain proposes a significant reduction, its ability to achieve this remains highly uncertain. The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, 2002-2019. Europe faces dangers, not least from trade wars. However, falling consumer confidence means we expect no acceleration in household spending growth. However, we think wider slippage means the actual fiscal deficit could widen from 0.6% of GDP in 2018 to 0.9% in 2019. Ⓒ Copyright. Eurozone unemployment is down to 8.1%, below pre-crisis levels, and pay is finally growing. But we expect it to extend the targeted operation that provides cheap loans to banks: a credit crunch is the last thing the ECB wants. Contact HSBC for support with banking and financials needs. Website: www.research.hsbc.com. Leveraging HSBC's international network to provide you with the connections and expertise you need to take your business further. 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